According to Polymarket (one of the largest platforms on the market for analyzes and predictions in several fields), which correctly indicated Donald Turmp as a winner of the US elections, the independent candidate Călin Georgescu no longer has the first chance to become the leader of Romania, a position taken by another independent, Nicușor Dan.
Călin Georgescu, taken off the “horse of favorite”
The graph posted by the platform shows that, on February 19, Georgescu had 55% to become the president of Romania, now led by interim Ilie Bolojan. On March 2, the percentage had dropped to 23%. Favorite became Mayor Nicușor Dan, with 44%.
Georgescu’s tip was reached on February 25, with a 56% share, compared to only 21% for Nicușor Dan.
Presidential candidates’ trails on Polymarket
Romania will have a new round of presidential elections this year, on 4 (first round) and May 18 (second round), and bookmakers in Romania are ready to throw the candidates’ odds on the market.
For the moment, however, the list of those who will enter the race is not finalized, being in the registration phase at the Central Electoral Bureau (BEC). For this reason, the licensed betting operators do not yet have the elections for Cotroceni.
Under judicial control, Călin Georgescu has, among the people, not to leave the country, not to post legionary, fascist, anti -Semitic, racist, xenophobic character, etc. Georgescu built his winning profile using the Chinese Tiktok network.
Ciolacu, hopeless
On the 3rd Polymarket top is George Simion, followed by Crin Antonescu, Ilie Bolojan, Victor Ponta and Elena Lasconi. The percentages will fluctuate until the election date. Polymarket survey are also passed by people who are not planning to apply. For example, Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu, the PSD leader, has less than 1% chance of occupying the position in Cotroceni, given that he would not enter the race. PSD, the largest political party of Romania, not being successful, for the first time in the post-December history, to qualify its candidate in the second round, where Georgescu would have faced Elena Lasconi. The CCR canceled the second round of elections, after receiving information from the CSAT regarding the mixing of an external power (Russia).
