In the current economic context, with a series of austerity measures and with politicians from four different parties trying to find the common denominator, the forecasts of specialists for future elections are born.
PHOTO Inquam Photos / George Călin
The current ruling coalition is in a downward line regarding the confidence of the population. The measures announced for the two fiscal-budget packages, including the increase of taxes and taxes, including VAT, have removed the electorate. VAT increase even violates one of the promises made in the election campaign by President Nicușor Dan, who also turned the current coalition.
In all this painting, without an alternative to assert itself in the opposition in the Parliament, the Gold Party, led by the former presidential candidate George Simion, remains the only political formation in which the voters can be directed to vote in an electoral poll against those in power. “The only clear thing is that gold, being the only opposition party, grows. It grows because PSD, PNL and USR, being in government together, will settle all the less popular measures that the government now puts into practice. It is a matter that, probably including the parties that formed this coalition, were waiting to happen ”, points out the sociologist Vladimir Ionaș for “Adevărul”.
The alternative is, in fact, the breaking of the coalition, the sociologist points out: “It depends a lot on how things will evolve, it depends a lot if this coalition will resist in this formula, if there will be parties that play the role of opposition party, because there are many years. If it goes the same as before, we can say that gold will approach 50% without any problems. But it is a unlikely scenario, because I doubt this coalition will withstand until 2028 ”.
The explanations of a psychologist
Not only the lack of an alternative will play an important role in the 2028 elections. The effect of the economic situation is a deeper one. Against the background of the economic crisis, negative emotions and reactions greatly increase. Also, stress and anxiety greatly increase, points out the psychologist Mihai Copăceanu for “Adevărul”. This also increases the vulnerability of the electorate to the extremist discourse.
“D.The extremist iscute is much more attractive because it appeals to the negative emotions and attitudes of the citizen, namely to anger and revolt, the desire for justice and more serious to revenge and aggression. That is, it fits perfectly on the immediate needs and alerts of citizens”, Explains the psychologist.
“A person who is with a high level of stress tends to think irrationally and less critically and logically, which represents a perfect basis for extremist discourse, an opportunity to do. Moreover, citizens become revolted and aggressive and quickly seek a culprit to which these negative emotions are to be made. resource), precisely to justify their accusatory speeches, to justify their political steps and to increase their popularity and figures in this sense. shows the psychologist Mihai Coppăceanu.
The ascent of extremist parties
The following scrutins are in 2028, when parliamentary elections and local elections will be held again. At the local elections of June 2024, Gold also obtained the mayors or positions in the local and county councils in the country. In the General Council in the Capital it has 5 councilors, and in the Ilfov County Council it has 4 members. This is after in 2020 he managed to capture the public opinion by reaching the electoral threshold of Parliament. At that time he entered the legislative with 47 parliamentarians.
At the parliamentary elections from the end of last year, besides gold, they also reached this threshold the party led by the former senator Diana Şoșoaca, SOS Romania, and Pot, the political formation that is led by the deputy Anamaria Grarilla and who supported the former presidential candidate Călin Georgescu. Now, the three parties together have one third of the mandates, gold being the second most voted party, after the PSD.
