How to change the calculations of Victor Ponta’s candidacy for presidential elections. An analyst: “He will only take from Crin Antonescu’s votes”

Former prime minister and head of the PSD, Victor Ponta targets the party’s electorate, but also the sovereignist. Analysts believe that it is funny for Ponta to present themselves as an anti-system candidate, given that it is a product product.

The deputy has so far ignored by the leadership of the Facebook Party/Victor Ponta

After beating more about the approx. In recent months, including by an announcement even during the PSD Congress to validate the candidacy of Crin Antonescu, PSD deputy Victor Ponta said on Wednesday, February 19, in Parliament, that he will run for the presidential elections in May, specifying to do “Which is good for PSD voters. ”

The deputy also emphasized the importance of the diversity of options for the electorate, claiming that several candidates who want to change the system are needed. “I confirm that I will not leave voters without a candidate. (…) I believe, once again, that the voters, and those of the PSD, and those of the PNL, and those who do not vote PSD and PNL, have the right to choose from several candidates and I believe that at this moment the change In Romania it cannot be brought only by the candidacy of Mr. Georgescu ”Ponta said.

Marcel Ciolacu said that Ponta will be excluded if he announces an official candidacy. After saying that he would enter the electoral struggle during the PSD Congress, Victor Ponta was dismissed from the position of honorary counselor of the prime minister.

What chances do the candidate have

Politicologist George Jiglău pointed out that “It is quite funny for Victor Ponta to present himself as an anti-system candidate, who wants to change the system, given that he was PSD president for so long, he was prime minister, so he is out of System, it is the product product ”, concluding that the social-democrat has weak chances to be the variant of the electorate that goes to the polls for an anti-system vote.

“It makes sense what he does, the way he formulates his own candidacy, in the context and what we see in the last days from the PSD. (…) It is a hard conservative wing extremely strongly anchored in the system now, which becomes more vocal and which clearly does not want to find themselves in the line that Marcel Ciolacu adopted from the PSD Supporting a candidate who does not come from the PSD and who would like to see a much more conservative candidate. I am the same that in the elections on November 24 they fired either with Simion or Georgescu ”the political scientist pointed out.

“Waiting for the scenario in which Călin Georgescu will not run”- Adrian Zăbavă, political analyst

“In the scenario in which we do not know whether Călin Georgescu will apply or not, I tend to believe that Victor Ponta is waiting for the script in which Călin Georgescu will not run, hoping that there is also a candidate to take from that electoral basin and maybe from the votes taken from PSD together to play an important role ”pointed out the political analyst Adrian Zăbavă for “Adevărul”.

Otherwise, the former prime minister is not very likely to break from the sovereign electorate. “I do not think that today Victor Ponta addresses credible to Călin Georgescu’s electorate. Ponta’s earnings in such an electorate would be marginal, in my opinion. (…) without propeling it in a position to reach the second round or even count in these elections ”Adrian Zăbavă pointed out.

As for the scenario in which Călin Georgescu will run, the analyst believes that “Victor Ponta will only take from Crin Antonescu’s votes ”.

At the same time, in the PSD’s power game, “The candidacy can become a factor that can only help it if it is some success. If you take 5% I do not see how something could be in the party and it is not an easy score ”, Adrian Zăbavă pointed out.

At the same time the analyst stressed that the party led by Marcel Ciolacu “He is in some skill, because he has a character, who, even if he is the prime minister of Romania, is a politician with his back to the wall. After last year’s presidential elections, in the PSD, a fight, which Ciolacu won, but was a stage fight. ”

What the polls look like

At the same time, in terms of figures, Ponta is measured in two recent sociopol polls, in which Victor Ponta is measured, the deputy is placed in second place, after Călin Georgescu, having 16%, and even after George Simion, in the absence of his candidacy. Georgescu, with 22%, with a difference of 2 percent compared to the head of gold. The percentage difference is 29% compared to Călin Georgescu.

A survey from the end of January indicates the same position for Călin Georgescu’s candidacy, but the sovereign candidate has more than two percent. The ranking and percentages are unchanged if Georgescu will not run for May elections.