Nobel Peace Prize, with geopolitical stake. What chances does Donald Trump have

The Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on Friday, October 10, against the background of a tense international climate, marked by armed conflicts, humanitarian crises and geopolitical instability. Among those who aspire to the distinction are the US President Donald Trump, invoking his involvement in the conclusion of several wars. While some claim it would be worth the prize, others believe that his chances are minimal.

President Nicușor Dan and Professor Valentin Naumescu. Photo: Facebook Valentin Naumescu

Valentin Naumescu, named presidential adviser on November 1, says that there are arguments for Donald Trump to receive the Nobel Peace Prize. In an analysis published on his Facebook page, Naumescu states that in recent months Donald Trump has acted politically to stop conflicts and that, from the perspective of Romania, the continuity of the transatlantic partnership counts.

What Naumescu says about Nobel Peace Prize. Peace as a result of dissemination

He notes that “No one will be able to say that there are no arguments” To reward Donald Trump, comparing the situation with the moment 2009, when Barack Obama received the distinction at the beginning of the mandate. He links the discussion with the recent mediation tests and the need for a powerful and credible NATO for Europe and Romania.

Naumescu argues that there are grounds for a Nobel given to Donald Trump, in the light of the claims claimed to stop wars in Gaza, Ukraine and Asia. He places the discussion in a pragmatic framework, in which peace depends on the strength of the transatlantic alliance and NATO functionality.

Ukraine and the transatlantic relationship, in the reading of Naumescu

Naumescu connects some of the argumentation of the August political meetings in Washington and the signs of a relaunch of US Dialog and US Europe. He returns to the central idea of ​​maintaining the alliance with the US in NATO and the operation of the transatlantic partnership on strategic, political, military and economic dimensions.

On the other hand, Professor Radu Carp, claims that “The Nobel is rarely granted to political leaders in office, the committee gives it rather to the dissidents or organizations that save lives. “

Carp says this year sees “Greater chances for the foundation created around Alexei Navalnîi or his wife Yulia, respectively for an active humanitarian organization in Sudan, where the prize money would immediately count.”

As regards the award of the US President Peace Prize, Carp says that “He sees no chance for Donald Trump, the prize is not a medal, it is an instrument that directs resources where it is needed.”

What do the parts directly involved say

Donald Trump has said several times that they would be “A great insult” to the US if he does not receive the prize and claims his role in “The conclusion of seven wars”. In reply, the secretariat of the Nobel committee transmitted that it cannot be influenced by campaigns or media attention.

And the president of Taiwan, Lai Ching-Te, talked about it. He explicitly stated that Trump would deserve the Nobel if he convinces Xi Jinping to give up the use of force against Taiwan. The statement irritated Beijing and reappeared the theme of Washington’s guarantor in Indo-Pacific, recently titled Reuters.

China replies, accusing Taiwan and President Lai, of se “Prostitutes” In an attempt to win the sympathy of foreigners, promoting “Separatism”, reiterating his position on Taiwan.

If the scenario in which Donald Trump had rewarded for a “de -escalation” approach, the first test remains Taiwan. And if Washington is diplomatically capitalizes in Indo-Pacific, the United States strengthens the discouragement equation around Taiwan and reduce the risk of regional crisis that would affect supply chains and beyond.

Romania has a direct interest in Indo-Pacific through the two strategic partnerships validated with concrete results, Japan and the Republic of Korea. For Romania, the practical stake of a Nobel moment related to Trump would be double.

On the relationship with Japan, energy cooperation has climbed a step through the institutional dialogue of Meets, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry in Japan, and the Ministry of Energy. The joint statement of June 2025 sets directions on hydrogen, civilian nuclear, intelligent networks and resilience in supply chains.

In the case of Seoul, the Strategic Partnership dates from 2008, has been updated in 2024 and structures for ten years the political dialogue, energy security, educational and cultural exchanges, according to AGERPRES.

Nobel rules. What is confirmable and what no

The Nobel Committee never reveals nominations, investigations and internal opinions until after 50 years. This is where a simple thing results. No one from the outside can officially confirm if Donald Trump’s name was proposed in 2025. Public discussions arise because certain politicians, university or organizations announce their preferences, and the rules allow people from eligible categories to send proposals to the deadline of January.

The committee has repeatedly transmitted that media attention or public campaigns do not influence deliberation. This is the wave of statements about a possible prize for Trump, according to The Times of India.