The organization of the elections for the position of mayor of the Capital, remaining vacant after the departure of Nicușor Dan to Cotroceni raises problems to the leadership leaders.
PHOTO Inquam Photos / George Călin
The date of elections for the Capital City Hall remains uncertain in the context in which the Social Democrats refuse the discussions for organization in November. The problem of establishing the elections has generated a real conflict between PSD and USR.
“PSD does not decide if we have elections in Bucharest! We have a law for this. And it is a democratic right to choose the mayor”, Cătălin Drulă recently announced.
For his part, PSD, through the voice of the senators’ leader, Daniel Zamfir, argued that “We are going through a difficult period, with one year 2024 full of elections, and the RomanianThey are not much more concerned about the measures that will affect their living. ”
The problem of establishing the elections towards the end of 2025 is deeper for the coalition parties. “Probably Daniel Băluță wants to have a full term of 2028. This would be a first reason. Secondly, not only Daniel Băluță wants, if he wants. We also have Mrs. Firea, who would undoubtedly want to try again. And anyway the divisions of the power between the Corlățean camp and the Grindeanu camp and there may be other camps, it is clear that I put PSD in the position to postpone any entry in an electoral competition as much as possible ”points out the political scientist Andrei Taranu for “Adevărul”.
On the other hand, the electoral race does not care about the Liberals at present, explains the political scientist, in the context in which the PNL leader, Llie Bolojan, is at the forefront of the Executive who now imposes the unpopular measures.
The problem of the common candidate
And as for the candidates there are heated discussions. Last days, Cătălin Drulă claimed that PNL president, Ilie Bolojan, wants a common PNL-USR candidacy. The two parties have not yet hit the palm, with the Liberals having Ciprian Ciucu in the position of possible candidate. The interim president of the PSD, Sorin Grindeanu, reacted quickly, warning that a PNL-USR understanding of a common candidate would mean that the PSD is in a “Isolation position in this coalition and there is very high chances for it to break. ”
“The USR is cramming because they would like to push PNL to support it. Although the PSD said that a possible PNL-UR alliance would lead to the destruction of the coalition. So it is clear that this game in three will have a result that will most likely not be the USR,” The political scientist Andrei Taranu also points out, explaining that, on the other hand, the party could only prepare the land for March-April.
PSD’s restraint comes in spite of the data of two insults and course that measured the intention to vote in the Capital announcing that the first place would be the social democrat Daniel Băluță, the mayor of the sector 4. The candidate from the second place is different. Specifically, the course survey, conducted at the command of the PSD, shows that 24% of the respondents would vote for the position of mayor of the capital with the Social Democrat Daniel Băluţă, the second place returning to Cătălin Drula (USR), with 20%. In the case of the Inscop survey in the second place, the Liberal Ciprian Ciucu is placed, with over 23%.
Candidate testing
“Different candidates are tested” – George Jiglău
“There are different phases of the process in which these surveys appear. At this time, when polls begin to appear, we are not talking about influencing votes in any way. We talk about influencing the parties between them. Inside. These are polls that appear rather for the purpose of establishing candidates, that we do not know exactly. For several years now, there is this phenomenon with polls that contradict each other. I would say that I give these strange results between them, especially now, in this phase of establishing the candidates. They keep messaging to each other through polls, and between parties, and inside the parties, and when alliances are explored ”, explains the politicalologist George Jiglău for “Adevărul”.
“Something else is when we know what candidates are and we start to measure how they are in polls, as the choices are approaching, as something relevant happens ”the political scientist George Jiglău also points out.
Battle for the capital and the gold factor
Most likely, in the race for the Capital City Hall, “There will be three minimum candidates. One from PSD, one from PNL and one from USR, precisely because Bolojan does not want to give up this coalition nor Nicușor Dan ”explains the political scientist Andrei Taranu, being of the opinion that the Liberals may not give up the candidacy having real chances in Bucharest with Ciprian Ciucu.
On the other hand, in the polls published for now, gold does not score too much. But the change of USR, which has attracted the electorate in Bucharest in recent years, could play a key role. The political scientist Andrei Taranu emphasizes that “It does not mean that we know at this time the traction of the Gold Party, given that the other three are in the government arc. USR electorate was an anti-system party, USR is in government, so it is no longer an anti-system party”.
In the case of USR and the announcement of Ana Ciceală’s candidacy has the potential to change the problem data, shows the political scout George Jiglău:
“We have to keep in mind that there are choices in a single tour. The more candidates, the lower the percentage that gives you good chance. With a 25% you can already have a very good chance of winning, especially if there are more candidates. If there are fewer, things are complicated. Chances. shows the political scientist George Jiglău, reminiscent of the tumultuous past with the current President Nicușor Dan in the case of Social Democrat Daniel Băluță.
