Victor Ponta creates problems not only to the candidate of the ruling coalition, Crin Antonescu, but also at the top of the largest party, the Social Democratic Party, led by Marcel Ciolacu. However, the chances of his strategy depend on several conditions.
Victor Ponta wants to attract the vote of PSD and the one of the photo sovereigns inquam Photos
Victor Ponta also aspires to Călin Georgescu’s electorate, and the PSD. His chances in both cases are measured not only in his own actions, but also those of the party that has grown, eliminated and then receive it back to end the exclusion.
“Using Trump’s language now, he’ll have many books in his hand. If it does not enter the second round, but it can take a 20%, it is a good situation for it, if it takes a 3%, then it will not be very good, but it depends a lot and what infrastructure has around it. I think they are based on these dissatisfied pessimists and what friends have in the country. ”points out the political scientist George Jiglău.
The success of the former social-democratic chief depends most on “What Marcel Ciolacu and PSD do in relation to Ponta ”.
“If they managed to learn something, to develop the base of the party a little, not to increase the shame they have happened (no – the missing tour II in the elections canceled by the CCR), I think that this risk will break too many voters will be diminished. If they fail, and Ponta takes many, then Ciolacu may stop landing again”, The political scientist believes.
The fight for Călin Georgescu’s electorate
Regarding the chase after the sovereign electorate, the difference between Călin Georgescu and Victor Ponta is that the social-democrat excluded from the party is strongly associated with the system, as opposed to the former candidate, who was not associated in an equally visible way, stresses George Jiglău. This makes him difficult to assimilate for the sovereign electorate formed around Georgescu, according to the political scientist.
Before taking the path of this profound conservative nationalism, Victor Ponta posed in Pro-European convinced, in modern and progressive social-democrat, shows political George Jiglău, and the analyzes from the launch of Pro Romania, a party that he founded, placed the political formation on the Progressive Liberal segment.
“Ponta is a created character and who has grown politically, professionally, even human, feeding on all the possible resources of the political system, in an extremely visible way-PSD president, prime minister, almost 10-11 years ago, so it is extremely difficult to take it seriously when he presents himself with Anti-System, which will be for this electricity, which is to be Now at Ponta and to consider that an anti-system character is equally perceived, ”Georgescu”, At the same time explains George Jiglău.
“Obviously it has a huge opportunity, because it tries to gather from two places votes and it is easier. It remains to be seen how much it will succeed. Important, from my point of view, it is how much it will be attacked on the past issues. How much electorate will lie in the previous period in which he was prime minister”, Complete the sociologist Ionaș Vladimir.
However, Victor Ponta is far from the first chance in the current electoral struggle. Even in the absence of a sovereign candidate, the most chances at the second round are at the independent candidates Nicușor Dan and Crin Antonescu, the candidate supported by the ruling coalition, according to the sociologist.
Now Victor Ponta is again excluded from the PSD. The same fate also had it in 2017, two years after losing the Government leadership with the Collective tragedy. He also applied for the 2014 presidential elections. Then he managed to qualify in the second round of the prime minister and PSD president, obtaining just over 40% of the votes, at a distance of 10 percent by Klaus Iohannis. However, the former prime minister lost the final fight with a percentage of 45%, Klaus Iohannis obtaining almost 55% of the votes.
