The end of the presidential elections brings for the two big parties, PSD and PNL, massive losses in the intention to vote, after no one has even managed to take the sustained man in the second round. Meanwhile, the Golden Party comes to drive in the voting intention, with over 30%, according to the latest measurements.
PSD and PNL have been surpassed in polls by photo inquam Photos / George Călin
In recent measurements, two parties are noted in the opposite trajectories. On the one hand, the party led by George Simion, which is growing, and PSD, in free fall after the last presidential election.
In an Inscop survey, Gold has a score similar to the one obtained by the candidate for George Simion presidential elections on the territory of Romania in the first round of the Presidential Election (38%). At the same time, PSD (15-17%) and PNL (16%) dispute second place with scores below 20%. USR has 12-13%, and UDMR is the first party to reach the electoral threshold for Parliament, with 4.5-4.7%.
Another survey conducted by Avangarde, between May 23-28, also places gold in the first place in terms of Romanians’ confidence, with a score of 32%. On the second place in the standings is the PSD, with 20%, declining compared to the time of elections – when it had 22.3%. In a slight growth is PNL, with 16%, compared to 14.3 in December, but also USR-15%, in the parliamentary elections six months ago the party having 12.2. The UDMR also has a slight decrease, being quoted to 5%. In free fall we find sauce and can, with 4%, respectively 3%, parties that would not enter the Parliament.
For gold the results represent a huge increase compared to the score obtained in the parliamentary elections of December 1, 2024, when the party led by George Simion obtained 18.3%.
PNL and PSD, forced to govern together and rectify the economy
The professor in political science Radu Carp explains for the “Adevărul” that the only solution of the two formations at the moment is the entry into government and solving the economic situation. A pregnant problem remains in the case of the prime minister, because the party that will hold the executive management will be disadvantaged.
“If we look at the vote for gold, we see that there are many disadvantaged areas in Romania that voted on December 1 for gold or later for George Simion. We see that as soon as an area or even a city, a county capital returns economically, it is already out of the spider’s web, destroyed by these populist parties. The left, and to vote for a pre-European candidate. explains the teacher in political science Radu Cap.
“Even if there was such a kind of energy with the choice of Mr. Nicușor Dan, the fact that an economic crisis is profiled on the horizon, and no one contradicts the fact that there will be no easy times, it also leads to this skepticism. And when this skepticism appears against the immediate future, the preference increases for this populist.”also draws the attention of Radu Carp.
Also, the growth of gold is due to a transfer from the SOS and can in the context of the latest elections. “SOS and I can noticed by the fall of the herds, so that the percentages were doubled. I often said that the potential for these populist parties is somewhere at 35-40%, and the minimum potential is somewhere at 30%at the moment. So the fact that gold appears there with 35%, given the margin of error, it means that the minimum of this Of concern, but if we look at another perspective, we notice that the number of potential voters for gold is lower than the number of votes that Mr. Simion obtained in the first round ”shows Radu Carp.
The explanations of the PSD fall
Last but not least, according to the teacher in political science, the PSD has a chance to decrease in the confidence and voting option of citizens in favor of gold. “The PSD strategy was to divide these populist parties, so that no one would capitalize on their fall, to be a smoother fall, but at the moment, with an interim management, it has no one to coordinate.”points Radu Carp.
For his part, the political scientist Cristian Pârvulescu emphasizes that in the case of the PSD fall, it is, in fact, a taxation from the electorate, following the presidential elections in which the formation was massively supported on the candidate Crin Antonescu, who is actually liberal.
“The PNL had a presidential candidate, not PSD, but in reality Crin Antonescu was to a greater extent the PSD candidate than of the PNL. This is why he did not enter the second round. And then, obviously, the PSD is the party sanctioned in the opinion polls, which, in fact, give the mood after the presidential elections. Important electoral because it has qualified in the second round. Explains for “Adevărul” Cristian Pârvulescu.
PSD has the worst decrease in the voting intention and the hardest mission in front.
“It is obvious, however, that much of the PSD and PNL electorate is found in gold. (…) The electorate is there because it seems to them that Simion is a winner and goes to the winners. There is an orchestra wagon for gold, there is an orchestra wagon for Nicușor Dan. But it is a passenger mood, we do not have to exaggerate it. However, for the PSD, for example, it is important to build a firm position in gold. The PSD is attacked in its golden electoral bases, that is, in the rural area. You have seen that the votes taken by gold are generally from the PSD areas. And here PSD has a problem. It will depend to a large extent on mayors, but the mayors will not move to an opposition party, if the Gold is the Opposition Party. On the other hand, if the PSD goes into the opposition and can improve the image from the opposition, but it manages to provide financing because it will depend on support or government, the image may be restored. However, another mandatory element for the restoration of the image is the change of leadership ”, Cristian Pârvulescu also explains.
The rows are gathered in Parliament
In Parliament, the PSD seems to strengthen its position of the largest party. Seven former SOS parliamentarians have announced their switch to the PSD from the beginning of the current legislature. The 4 indicate the direction in which other “deserters” of the sovereign camp could go, that is, to the big parties. On the other side, on PNL, only one former member can, Andrei Ionuț Teslariu.
In the meantime, gold is trying to increase their ranks. The party brought a deputy SOS, on Andrei Cosmin (Gușă) after losing two members: Robert Alecu (who went to Claudiu late) and George Becali.
However, most people lost the smaller sovereign parties, who supported Călin Georgescu and then George Simion in the presidential race, and SOS Romania, who did not have a designated candidate.
I can lose 10 deputies: Albu Dumitriţa, Andruşcă Lucian-Nicolae (PSD), Csillag Andrei, Groza Călin-Florin, Ionescu Monica, Ionescu Radu-Mihail, Pîclişan Gheorghe-Petru, Popa Dorin (PSD), Simu Aurora-Tasică and Teslariu Andrei-Ionuţ.
At the Senate he was left without a group after remained with less than 7 people. There are now Aldea Marian Vali and Pintea Paul Ciprian, who automatically went to non -affiliates.
Sos Romania remained in total without 6 people in the Chamber of Deputies: Andrei Cosmin (PSD), Băişanu Ştefan-Alexandru (PSD), Coarnă Dumitru, Jianu Iosif-Florin (PSD), Moiseev Alexandrră (PSD) and Szőke Ecaterina-Mariana (PSD). Olga Onea, Ionel Carp (PSD) and Romeo Gheorghe left.
