The most powerful leaders of the moment are not the personalities who enjoy the greatest confidence or grab the podium of notoriety, Romanians oscillating between old politicians with a good image and controversial elected officials.
Mircea Geoană and Emil Boc lead the ranking of the trust PHOTO Inquam Photos / Collage
According to the latest survey by INSCOP, Mircea Geoană leads the ranking of trust with 34% – lots and lots of trust, followed by Emil Boc with 32.4%, respectively Victor Ponta with 24.1%. The three are followed by Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu, who has a trust capital of 20.5%, Gabriela Firea with 19.5%, Cristian Diaconescu with 19.1%, Diana Şoşoacă with 18.6% and George Simion with 15, 4%. Former liberal Prime Minister Nicolae Ciucă has 12%, and Cătălin Drula – 5.8%.
Klaus Iohannis is the personality with the greatest notoriety among the tested names. The head of state is followed by senator Diana Sosoacă, who has 96.7%. Victor Ponta has 95.7%, the head of PSD, Marcel Ciolacu, has 93.9%, Gabriela Firea has 91.7%, and Emil Boc – 90.7%. In the top of notoriety, the deputy general secretary of NATO has 89.6%, followed by Nicolae Ciucă, who has 84.4%. The head of AUR, George Simion, has 82.3%, while Cristian Diaconescu benefits from a notoriety of 68.2%, the president of USR, Cătălin Drula, from 43.6%, and the rector of SNSPA, Remus Pricopie, from 23.5 %.
According to the director of INSCOP Research, Remus Ștefureac, the results of the survey “confirms the fact that the majority of Romanians are very demanding towards the current leaders of political parties, who are in the foreground of the public debate, preferring instead personalities less active in national politics, but with results in their fields of activity”.
What the specialists say
Sociologist Vladimir Ionaș claims that a factor that led to these percentages is represented by the very names chosen by the poll makers to be measured, but greater trust or high notoriety does not automatically mean votes, if they were to go to the polls.
“The fact that we are talking strictly about favorability or trust does not automatically translate into voting intention. In the last 10 years, we have had a lot of characters who enjoyed a high trust rate, but which did not necessarily translate into voting intention. There is a difference between those who trust or have a positive opinion of a political figure and those who vote later“, emphasized Vladimir Ionaș.
In the case of Diana Soșoacă's appearance in the notoriety list, the sociologist explained that “it's not a surprise because she was aggressive on social media, she was picked up by all the media and then obviously she managed to reach all parts of the electorate, both those who follow her on social media and the part that watches more rather watch television or read the press online”.
And the political scientist George Jiglău is of the opinion that “the results of the survey can also be read in reverse”. “We can look at what's left up to 100%, which is disbelief”Jiglău pointing out that increased notoriety, as in the case of Șoșoacă, is not equal to attracting sympathy.
Instead, the political scientist emphasized that Geoană and Boc managed to recover after a period in which they were not very popular. “I think the two of them somehow stayed in the foreground, especially Emil Boc. Mircea Geoană returned to the foreground, let's say a little more recently, with the position at NATO. But I think what matters most right now is that society's memory is somewhat short. There are two people who held public positions, were in the foreground in Romanian politics, but some time ago, and since then the world has forgotten since Mircea Geoană was PSD president or since he had the presidential campaign in 2009, forgotten since Emil Boc was prime minister“, said Jiglău, who specified that now Boc, respectively Geoana, have institutions that bring them a good image.
“Mircea Geoană, just like Laura Codruța Kovesi, has two major competitive advantages over politicians active in national politics. First, it is not seen as having anything to do with the bad governance of recent years, with decisions that have produced record inflation and by implication a decline in purchasing power and a deterioration in living standards. Secondly, Geoană legitimizes himself, and rightly so, with his position at NATO, just as Kovesi legitimizes himself with his position at EPPO”said George Rîpa, political analyst.
The reinvention of Boc
Regarding the mayor of Cluj-Napoca, whom some liberals would even like to be an electoral engine for the European Parliament, the analyst pointed out: “Emil Boc is among the very few politicians who have recovered after a steep drop in the confidence of the Romanians and who have managed to reinvent themselves. Boc is today the manager, the technocrat, the mayor and not the prime minister of the crisis. On the other hand, Boc symbolizes that category of politicians, increasingly restricted, that a significant percentage of Romanians appreciate for the fact that in a complicated moment he chose to make electorally unpopular decisions, but necessary for the country“.
Last but not least, Rîpa emphasized that “Soșoăca is the most representative anti-system politician. It best gathers the frustrations, unfulfillments and disappointments of all generations that have not built a social and economic path. However, her electoral pool is a narrow one, the vote for her works as a pressure, but also as a valve. However, Romanians would never elect a pro-Russian politician who questions the membership of the Euro-Atlantic structures and who promotes in Bucharest the criminal regime from Moscow”.