Rotation of governments, a disaster announced. Analysts ask for a stable government and long -term reforms: “The Rocade experiment has failed”

The negotiations of the last days provide for a governmental rocal, even if the liberal Ilie Bolojan, the one who would be appointed by President Nicușor Dan to form a majority, would refuse to accept a term of “expiration” of his mandate. But the government rock is the losing version, for both parties and President Nicușor Dan, warns the analysts.

Ilie Bolojan will be appointed by Nicușor Dan Wednesday PHOTO Mediafax

Specifically, according to the information “Adevărul” Ilie Bolojan will be appointed to form the new parliamentary majority during this week by President Nicușor Dan, in the context in which the PSD would have agreed on a new rock to return to the Government leadership in 2027. And if it had not approved in a protocol between the four parties. “E.It is hard for a government, which will take the unpopular measures to withstand 3 and a half ”, Recently anticipated the head of UDMR, Kelemen Hunor.

Former presidential adviser Adriana Săftoiu points out that if Ilie Bolojan will perform, and the measures imposed by his cabinet will bring the expected results, then the change of government leads would be a “wrong” movement. “I make party calculations, who to enter the first, who to enter the second, to erode more, but we all have the power. This decision with the rock is absolutely ridiculous ”points out Adriana Săftoiu.

Nicușor Dan, mitigating circumstances

Adriana Săftoiu also emphasizes that including Nicușor Dan concerned, there is already a disappointment among the Romanians. „P.It’s a moment of disappointment. The reason: stay for a month, a month to delay these discussions, which, what to see, end how they started. From the beginning we were told that it will be a majority of this type with Bolojan. What to see, they talked for a month to come exactly with the same result. Many people look at this concern and think that if they will govern the same with delays, discussions, with slats, with information on sources, just to try the people, we cannot expect good things ”.

And if we talk about a rock, and in two years he would be appointing a PSD prime minister, Nicușor Dan will be clearly compared to former head of state Klaus Iohannis, who in 2023 appointed Marcel Ciolacu, although at his second term, he promised the removal of the Social Democrats from the Decision.

Nobody understood why Iohannis brought the PSD to the government when he had a right-wing-right-UDMR government. Why Iohannis destroyed this government that had the vote in Parliament and preferred to bring the PSD to the government. Comparing the situations, the difference is that Iohannis even had a majority without PSD. Nicușor Dan does not have a majority without PSD. This is the truth, that is, it could go to the minority government, but it would be a very weak government and also to the PSD timber. So Nicușor Dan could say-I didn’t go, I have to live with the PSD. And he does not, he does not do it, but he comes with Ilie Bolojan. But even if they had mitigating circumstances Nicușor Dan to Klaus Iohannis, the population would not accept something, because people want a change ”, Ion M. Ioniță explains the editor-in-chief of Historia.

The variant of the rocade, unfavorable neither for the PSD nor for the PNL

The variant of repetition of the tank would have several consequences. “A serious state cannot be run with limited mandates, all the more so the Romanian state whose institutions and people react to the imperial-bizantine force that leaders emanate and less to their legitimacy given by the popular vote, as is the case in consolidated democracies. The person who assumes the management of the Government must assume reforming policies throughout the mandate. At what economic disaster we have today, the reform of the Romanian state is mandatory, and this is not done in a year and a half, at least two full mandates are needed. (…) The rotary formula has already proved disastrous for both PNL and PSD, but especially for Romanians and Romania. To try it again would be a disaster”, Explains the political analyst George Ripa.

That the repetition of the troop will not bring an advantage neither PSD nor PNL, says Ion M. Ioniță. “No, it would not be a good idea to enter a new rotary, because the old one has shown its results that were disastrous for some and for others, that is, for PNL and PSD. The results of the elections are seen. For PSD it was the weakest in history and for PNL it was very weak. So I don’t think it would be a good formula for Liberals or PSD, after all. (…) That’s how they have done so far. Each time they left a difficult situation, after which someone came, made some more popular reforms and came after that and started to give money again. So, the PSD could think of repeating this scheme ”, explains the editor-in-chief Historia Ion M. Ioniță.

If PNL accepts a new rotary, with Bolojan the first at the Victoria Palace, in the first part the government will be challenged by Romanians who do not want structural reforms, and in the second part of the right-wing electorate that will accuse him of being a part of a socialist-as happened in 2023-2024, warns the rhyme. “In addition, any haze of reforms would be realized in the next year and a half, they will be reversed by the one who will then take over the government and enter the new electoral logic for the parliamentary elections of 2028 ”he explains.

While for the PSD the variant of the bypass of government is not necessarily a winning one, for the liberals it could prove the only solution to “To become a liberal-conservative party ” and to “Try to win the 2028 elections with a score that allows him to lead the government in the next 4 years“After the elections, adds George Rip.”If PNL does not get a firm mandate, for 3 and a half years, the best solution for the party is to enter the opposition and Nicușor Dan to offer the PSD government ”.

The calendar of the appointment of the new prime minister

According to the information “Adevărul”, after the prime minister’s designation, all the calculations on ministries and functions would be concluded. For the formation of the team and the government plan, normally, the designated prime minister has 10 days available. This time, however, all the procedures will be done quickly before, in the context in which the mandate of the interim prime minister expires on June 20.