The Golden Party, led by former presidential candidate George Simion, continues to grow in the voting intention of the Romanians. However, the analysts show that the ascension of the party is rather a contextual one, based on several elements that bring frustration among the voters. However, a percentage of over 30% could bring to the party serious chances of government.
Photo Inquam Photos / Octav Ganea
Gold remains on an upward trend in recent months, increasing in the intention to vote for parliamentary by 2.4% in June and 0.3% in September, the Barometer Inscop shows. In May, the party was at 38.1%, now reaching 40.8%. And other “sovereign” parties enjoy similar increases, but not all the time: SOS Romania now reaches 2.8%, after giving from 2.5% to May 1.9% in June. I can have 3.3%, after reaching 4.2% in June, starting from 3.2% in May.
Analysts emphasize that current figures may not count too much over 3 years, but a number of elements favor a growth in surveys for these parties, especially for gold. “In 3 years many things can happen and we cannot put a sign of equality between today’s polls and what will be in the reality of the vote in 2028”, emphasizes political consultant Adrian Zăbavă.
“All the options are opened at this time. We are in an economic and financial-budgetary situation, in which measures of unpopular economic recovery have been taken. Therefore gold has increased.” points out the editor-in-chief of Historia Ion M. Ioniță, showing that the party enjoys a favorable situation.
“When you are the most successful party in Romania, of course you can have chances and get to government. So we can no longer discuss this as a hypothesis to consider with small chances” – Adrian Zăbavă, political consultant.
The progress of the party must be taken into account for the following parliamentary elections, which will take place in 2028 and which will change the Executive. “Gold has been growing for some time, capitalizing on the sociopolitical situation in Romania, had some successful presidential elections, even if they did not take their candidate to Cotroceni. But there were some elections that turned gold into the most successful party in Romania. And when you are the most successful party in Romania, of course you can have chances and get to government. So we can no longer discuss this as a hypothesis to consider with low chances. We can’t talk about it. 4 years ago maybe but today reality is completely different”, Warns the political consultant Adrian Zăbavă.
What favors the gold ascension
Political consultant Adrian Zăbavă shows that the golden ascension is based on “An accumulation of social-political tension over several years, an increasing inequality and inequity, a political scene broken by social reality and a alignment with social-political phenomena that happens in most Western countries. There are many things. And of course, a sensitive economic situation, let’s say so. Many people who see their present and future not as they imagined a few years ago and from here very much frustration. “
“Only the opposition we have increases, the nationalist-sourceranist, because someone else is no longer in opposition”-Ion M Ioniță, editor-in-chief.
“It is about anger, dissatisfaction. Here we do not have to exclude, of course, what happens on social networks. (…) For many counts it is to pour their dissatisfaction. Oppositions. Ion M. Ioniță also explains.
A period of “adjusting political movements”
Actually, “Many red lines have passed that lead to extreme polarization and many other things that favor such political movements”, Points the sting.
“I would say valid for the other countries, not only for Romania (…) We are living a period of political movements in Western societies, and so far the reality of other countries shows us this type of policy is here for longer.completes the sauce.
